If Giants fans thought Monday night was bleak, wait for Week 5.
New York (1-3) is the biggest underdog this weekend as it travels to Miami (3-1). Per Oddschecker, the Dolphins are a 10.5-point favorite.
Miami lost 48-20 to Buffalo in Week 4 but returns home for the first time since it laid 70 points on the Broncos. The Dolphins are seventh in defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA), their offense 46.3 percent better than a league-average unit.
The Giants, meanwhile, are last in DVOA, with an offense that is 33.7 percent worse than the league average.
That’s a perfect recipe for a blowout, something oddsmakers are aware of. With how the Giants have played this year, Sunday’s game might be done at halftime. New York has been outscored 77-9 in the first half of its first four games.
Despite trailing 31-14 after the first half against the Bills, Miami has outscored its opponents 86-64 during the first 30 minutes.
New York is unlikely to keep pace with Miami’s high-flying offense averaging 37.5 points per game, primarily due to the Giants’ inability to protect quarterback Daniel Jones. He was sacked 10 times on Monday night and will be under duress against the Dolphins, too.
Bradley Chubb is 11th in ESPN’s pass rush win rate model among edge rushers. Christian Wilkins ranks 20th among defensive tackles.
Sunday’s meeting is a mismatch, but that hasn’t stopped teams from surpassing expectations in the past. Some underdogs deserve to be feared. But in New York’s case, this underdog has no bite.